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Road To Asian Games · BO3
result vs prediction
Саудовская Аравияwin 2:0
series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Оманloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Саудовская Аравия

No games played over 6 months.

Оман

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Techies
Techies
643 picks · 690 bans
54%
Rubick
Rubick
495 picks · 348 bans
47%
Doom
Doom
479 picks · 1018 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
408 picks · 882 bans
49%
Batrider
Batrider
397 picks · 967 bans
50%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
395 picks · 1033 bans
57%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
391 picks · 353 bans
55%
Pugna
Pugna
379 picks · 449 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 40%
Hero pool strength50% Саудовская Аравия
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% Оман
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Саудовская Аравия 48%Оман 52%
The model gave 52% on Оман — the game was taken by Саудовская Аравия.
Game 2prediction missed
Саудовская Аравия 48%Оман 52%
The model gave 52% on Оман — the game was taken by Саудовская Аравия.
Model check result
Model favoriteОман · 52%
Series resultСаудовская Аравия 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2