Road To Asian Games · BO3
result vs prediction
Иорданияwin 2:0series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 2:0
ООманloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Иордания
No games played over 6 months.
Оман
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Techies
646 picks · 694 bans
Rubick
529 picks · 359 bans
Doom
504 picks · 1040 bans
Ember Spirit
422 picks · 901 bans
Beastmaster
407 picks · 1069 bans
Batrider
405 picks · 1000 bans
Void Spirit
392 picks · 353 bans
Pugna
379 picks · 451 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Иордания
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total62% Иордания
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Иордания 62%Оман 38%
The model gave 62% on Иордания — the game was taken by Иордания.
Game 2prediction correct
Иордания 62%Оман 38%
The model gave 62% on Иордания — the game was taken by Иордания.
Model check result
Model favoriteИордания · 62%
Series resultИордания 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2