Road To Asian Games · BO3
result vs prediction
Саудовская Аравияloss 0:2series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Иорданияwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Саудовская Аравия
No games played over 6 months.
Иордания
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Techies
652 picks · 696 bans
Rubick
559 picks · 377 bans
Doom
520 picks · 1062 bans
Ember Spirit
433 picks · 926 bans
Beastmaster
421 picks · 1099 bans
Batrider
412 picks · 1034 bans
Enchantress
398 picks · 667 bans
Void Spirit
393 picks · 354 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Саудовская Аравия
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% Иордания
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Саудовская Аравия 47%Иордания 53%
The model gave 53% on Иордания — the game was taken by Иордания.
Game 2prediction correct
Саудовская Аравия 47%Иордания 53%
The model gave 53% on Иордания — the game was taken by Иордания.
Model check result
Model favoriteИордания · 53%
Series resultИордания 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2