The Bali Major 2023 · BO2
result vs prediction
Invictus Gamingloss 0:2series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Blacklist Internationalwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Blacklist International
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
662 picks · 453 bans
Techies
657 picks · 694 bans
Doom
578 picks · 1124 bans
Beastmaster
497 picks · 1215 bans
Ember Spirit
486 picks · 1038 bans
Disruptor
478 picks · 447 bans
Enchantress
463 picks · 714 bans
Pangolier
437 picks · 907 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)36% vs 42%
Hero pool strength50% Invictus Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% Blacklist International
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct52:26
Invictus Gaming 46%Blacklist International 54%
The model gave 54% on Blacklist International — the game was taken by Blacklist International in 1:07:50.
Game 2prediction correct40:14
Invictus Gaming 46%Blacklist International 54%
The model gave 54% on Blacklist International — the game was taken by Blacklist International in 39:55.
Model check result
Model favoriteBlacklist International · 54%
Series resultBlacklist International 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2