?
arrow_backBack to match
The Bali Major 2023 · BO2
result vs prediction
LGD Gamingloss 1:1
series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Azure Rayloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

LGD Gaming

Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
niu · 29 games
72%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
NothingToSay · 27 games
59%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
NothingToSay · 22 games
77%
Phoenix
Phoenix
pLAnet · 22 games
59%
Disruptor
Disruptor
pLAnet · 20 games
55%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
pLAnet · 17 games
47%
Mirana
Miranasignature
pLAnet · 17 games
65%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
NothingToSay · 17 games
76%

Azure Ray

Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
BEYOND · 12 games
67%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Somnus · 11 games
64%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
天命 · 10 games
50%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
fy · 10 games
80%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
lou · 9 games
78%
Riki
Rikisignature
天命 · 9 games
67%
Silencer
Silenceroften banned
天命 · 9 games
56%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
zzq · 8 games
75%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
672 picks · 458 bans
47%
Techies
Techies
655 picks · 692 bans
54%
Doom
Doom
581 picks · 1125 bans
53%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
500 picks · 1227 bans
57%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
496 picks · 1049 bans
49%
Disruptor
Disruptor
488 picks · 459 bans
50%
Enchantress
Enchantress
461 picks · 728 bans
48%
Pangolier
Pangolier
441 picks · 914 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 44%
Hero pool strength51% LGD Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total54% LGD Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed16:27
LGD Gaming 54%Azure Ray 46%
The model gave 54% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by Azure Ray in 31:39.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Clinkz
Clinkzshiro
36% · 47 games47% · 228 games
Storm SpiritSomnus
Storm Spirit
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritNothingToSay
44% · 369 games47% · 62 games
Abaddonlou
Abaddon
Beastmaster
Beastmasterniu
55% · 389 games57% · 310 games
DoomChalice
Doom
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath MagepLAnet
45% · 212 games56% · 292 games
Techiesfy
Techies
Elder Titan
Elder Titany`
62% · 30 games52% · 155 games
Pugna天命
Pugna
Game 2prediction correct25:16
LGD Gaming 53%Azure Ray 47%
The model gave 53% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 41:22.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusa
Medusashiro
47% · 109 games55% · 128 games
Faceless Voidlou
Faceless Void
Broodmother
Broodmotherniu
48% · 91 game52% · 101 game
Shadow FiendSomnus
Shadow Fiend
Timbersaw
TimbersawNothingToSay
50% · 135 games55% · 119 games
TidehunterChalice
Tidehunter
Enigma
Enigmay`
49% · 99 games49% · 135 games
Shadow Demonfy
Shadow Demon
Techies
TechiespLAnet
47% · 187 games49% · 138 games
Lich天命
Lich
Model check result
Model favoriteLGD Gaming · 54%
Accuracy by game1 of 2