The Bali Major 2023 · BO2
result vs prediction
Bleed Esportswin 2:0series probability
16%84%
probability at match start · final 2:0
BETBOOM TEAMloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Bleed Esports
Rubick
DJ · 17 games
Silencersignature
DuBu · 13 games
Disruptor
DuBu · 9 games
Enchantressoften banned
DuBu · 9 games
Doomoften banned
iceiceice · 8 games
Naga Sirensignature
JaCkky · 8 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
JaCkky · 8 games
Medusasignature
JaCkky · 7 games
BETBOOM TEAM
Doomsignature
Pure~ · 30 games
Pugnasignature
Save- · 28 games
Enchantressoften banned
Save- · 27 games
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 25 games
Rubicksignature
Save- · 25 games
Tiny
gpK~ · 23 games
Death Prophetoften banned
Nightfall · 21 game
Techiessignature
Save- · 21 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
671 picks · 458 bans
Techies
654 picks · 689 bans
Doom
580 picks · 1123 bans
Beastmaster
499 picks · 1225 bans
Ember Spirit
495 picks · 1048 bans
Disruptor
486 picks · 459 bans
Enchantress
459 picks · 727 bans
Pangolier
440 picks · 913 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 52%
Hero pool strength53% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total84% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed22:19
Bleed Esports 29%BETBOOM TEAM 71%
The model gave 71% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Bleed Esports in 53:34.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Naga SirenJaCkky
TerrorbladeNightfall
Lycaniceiceice
UnderlordPure~
EnchantressDJ
Storm SpiritgpK~
PugnaDuBu
Keeper of the LightSave-
54% · 190 games
DisruptorTORONTOTOKYO
Game 2prediction missed18:17
Bleed Esports 28%BETBOOM TEAM 72%
The model gave 72% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Bleed Esports in 44:23.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
JuggernautJaCkky
TerrorbladeNightfall
Beastmastericeiceice
AxePure~
EnigmaDJ
Storm SpiritgpK~
PugnaDuBu
Keeper of the LightSave-
52% · 181 game
DisruptorTORONTOTOKYO
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 84%
Series resultBleed Esports 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2