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The Bali Major 2023 · BO2
result vs prediction
PSG Questwin 2:0
series probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 2:0
BETBOOM TEAMloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

PSG Quest

Rubick
Rubicksignature
OmaR · 29 games
62%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Kaori · 25 games
68%
Techies
Techiessignature
OmaR · 20 games
70%
Phoenix
Phoenix
Kaori · 19 games
58%
Silencer
Silenceroften banned
Kaori · 18 games
56%
Tidehunter
Tidehuntersignature
Wuiter · 18 games
67%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
TA2000 · 17 games
59%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Kaori · 17 games
94%

BETBOOM TEAM

Doom
Doomsignature
Pure~ · 28 games
71%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
Save- · 28 games
68%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Save- · 27 games
59%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 24 games
75%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
Save- · 24 games
63%
Tiny
Tiny
gpK~ · 23 games
57%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Nightfall · 21 game
57%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 20 games
75%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
673 picks · 457 bans
47%
Techies
Techies
650 picks · 688 bans
54%
Doom
Doom
581 picks · 1121 bans
54%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
499 picks · 1226 bans
56%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
495 picks · 1046 bans
49%
Disruptor
Disruptor
488 picks · 460 bans
50%
Enchantress
Enchantress
459 picks · 723 bans
48%
Pangolier
Pangolier
439 picks · 911 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)64% vs 53%
Hero pool strength50% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total64% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed29:10
PSG Quest 44%BETBOOM TEAM 56%
The model gave 56% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by PSG Quest in 36:39.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusa
MedusaTA2000
51% · 205 games48% · 84 games
JuggernautNightfall
Juggernaut
Timbersaw
TimbersawATF
52% · 214 games48% · 215 games
DoomPure~
Doom
Primal Beast
Primal BeastNo!ob
52% · 257 games47% · 288 games
PangoliergpK~
Pangolier
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonOmaR
49% · 141 game52% · 196 games
TechiesSave-
Techies
Bane
BaneKaori
49% · 88 games51% · 122 games
Crystal MaidenTORONTOTOKYO
Crystal Maiden
Game 2prediction missed22:13
PSG Quest 43%BETBOOM TEAM 57%
The model gave 57% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by PSG Quest in 36:19.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Anti-Mage
Anti-MageTA2000
52% · 95 games55% · 243 games
DoomPure~
Doom
Broodmother
BroodmotherATF
53% · 159 games52% · 242 games
MorphlingNightfall
Morphling
Puck
PuckNo!ob
53% · 307 games50% · 162 games
Void SpiritgpK~
Void Spirit
Undying
UndyingKaori
49% · 425 games46% · 482 games
RubickSave-
Rubick
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath MageOmaR
44% · 223 games47% · 80 games
Shadow DemonTORONTOTOKYO
Shadow Demon
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 64%
Series resultPSG Quest 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2