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The Bali Major 2023 · BO2
result vs prediction
9Pandasloss 0:2
series probability
35%65%
probability at match start · final 0:2
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

9Pandas

Techies
Techiesoften banned
Antares · 52 games
52%
Rubick
Rubick
Antares · 34 games
47%
Doom
Doomsignature
MieRo · 30 games
73%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Magesignature
Antares · 29 games
66%
Undying
Undyingsignature
Solo · 26 games
69%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Solo · 24 games
54%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
MieRo · 23 games
61%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
MieRo · 22 games
59%

BETBOOM TEAM

Pugna
Pugnasignature
Save- · 28 games
68%
Doom
Doomsignature
Pure~ · 27 games
70%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Save- · 27 games
59%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
Save- · 24 games
63%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 23 games
74%
Tiny
Tiny
gpK~ · 23 games
57%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Nightfall · 21 game
57%
Undying
Undyingsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 20 games
70%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
681 picks · 458 bans
47%
Techies
Techies
643 picks · 682 bans
54%
Doom
Doom
577 picks · 1121 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
503 picks · 1048 bans
50%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
501 picks · 1239 bans
57%
Disruptor
Disruptor
496 picks · 476 bans
51%
Enchantress
Enchantress
465 picks · 719 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
440 picks · 918 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)46% vs 52%
Hero pool strength53% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total65% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct27:49
9Pandas 39%BETBOOM TEAM 61%
The model gave 61% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 56:38.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sniper
Sniperkiyotaka
43% · 50 games53% · 141 game
Templar AssassingpK~
Templar Assassin
Anti-Mage
Anti-MageRAMZES666
45% · 85 games52% · 239 games
MorphlingNightfall
Morphling
Beastmaster
BeastmasterMieRo
51% · 363 games57% · 302 games
DoomPure~
Doom
Enchantress
EnchantressSolo
49% · 335 games51% · 264 games
TechiesSave-
Techies
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath MageAntares
46% · 230 games51% · 117 games
Spirit BreakerTORONTOTOKYO
Spirit Breaker
Game 2prediction correct22:35
9Pandas 40%BETBOOM TEAM 60%
The model gave 60% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 44:58.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Juggernaut
JuggernautRAMZES666
45% · 49 games52% · 105 games
Storm SpiritgpK~
Storm Spirit
Spirit Breaker
Spirit BreakerAntares
51% · 123 games49% · 104 games
BroodmotherNightfall
Broodmother
Enigma
EnigmaMieRo
50% · 74 games53% · 63 games
UnderlordPure~
Underlord
Legion Commander
Legion Commanderkiyotaka
42% · 74 games54% · 100 games
Keeper of the LightSave-
Keeper of the Light
Pugna
PugnaSolo
51% · 120 games51% · 68 games
LichTORONTOTOKYO
Lich
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 65%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2