The Bali Major 2023 · BO2
result vs prediction
LGD Gamingloss 1:1series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 1:1
BETBOOM TEAMloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
LGD Gaming
Beastmastersignature
niu · 29 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
NothingToSay · 27 games
Pangoliersignature
NothingToSay · 22 games
Phoenix
pLAnet · 22 games
Disruptor
pLAnet · 19 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
pLAnet · 17 games
Miranasignature
pLAnet · 17 games
Skywrath Magesignature
pLAnet · 16 games
BETBOOM TEAM
Pugnasignature
Save- · 28 games
Doomsignature
Pure~ · 27 games
Enchantresssignature
Save- · 26 games
Rubicksignature
Save- · 24 games
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 23 games
Tiny
gpK~ · 23 games
Death Prophetoften banned
Nightfall · 21 game
Undyingsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 20 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
677 picks · 454 bans
Techies
637 picks · 674 bans
Doom
573 picks · 1117 bans
Ember Spirit
500 picks · 1043 bans
Beastmaster
499 picks · 1236 bans
Disruptor
496 picks · 475 bans
Enchantress
462 picks · 711 bans
Pangolier
437 picks · 918 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 53%
Hero pool strength50% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total58% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct22:32
LGD Gaming 45%BETBOOM TEAM 55%
The model gave 55% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 47:29.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphlingshiro
BloodseekerNightfall
Storm SpiritNothingToSay
PangoliergpK~
Timbersawniu
TidehunterPure~
DisruptorpLAnet
TechiesSave-
Spirit Breakery`
LichTORONTOTOKYO
Game 2prediction missed32:5
LGD Gaming 47%BETBOOM TEAM 53%
The model gave 53% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 30:47.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Doomniu
Ember SpiritgpK~
Clinkzshiro
JuggernautNightfall
Primal BeastNothingToSay
TidehunterPure~
TechiespLAnet
EnchantressSave-
Clockwerky`
DisruptorTORONTOTOKYO
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 58%
Accuracy by game1 of 2