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The Bali Major 2023 · BO2
result vs prediction
Gaimin Gladiatorsloss 1:1
series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 1:1
PSG Questloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Gaimin Gladiators

Rubick
Rubicksignature
tOfu · 56 games
73%
Undying
Undyingsignature
Seleri · 40 games
73%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Quinn · 37 games
68%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
tOfu · 33 games
76%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Ace · 32 games
72%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Seleri · 32 games
69%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Quinn · 29 games
72%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
Quinn · 29 games
72%

PSG Quest

Rubick
Rubicksignature
OmaR · 28 games
61%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Kaori · 24 games
71%
Phoenix
Phoenix
Kaori · 19 games
58%
Tidehunter
Tidehuntersignature
Wuiter · 18 games
67%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
TA2000 · 17 games
59%
Techies
Techiessignature
OmaR · 17 games
65%
Tiny
Tiny
No!ob · 16 games
56%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
No!ob · 15 games
60%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
692 picks · 473 bans
47%
Techies
Techies
626 picks · 654 bans
55%
Doom
Doom
573 picks · 1120 bans
53%
Disruptor
Disruptor
517 picks · 494 bans
52%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
516 picks · 1254 bans
57%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
495 picks · 1055 bans
49%
Enchantress
Enchantress
468 picks · 696 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
451 picks · 929 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 60%
Hero pool strength55% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total53% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed49:64
Gaimin Gladiators 52%PSG Quest 48%
The model gave 52% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by PSG Quest in 2:16:39.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Timbersaw
TimbersawQuinn
48% · 167 games43% · 207 games
SnapfireNo!ob
Snapfire
Chen
ChenSeleri
59% · 69 games53% · 132 games
MedusaTA2000
Medusa
Bloodseeker
Bloodseekerdyrachyo
41% · 147 games49% · 107 games
UnderlordATF
Underlord
Dark Seer
Dark SeerAce
59% · 93 games48% · 166 games
SilencerKaori
Silencer
Techies
TechiestOfu
49% · 251 game55% · 115 games
Shadow DemonOmaR
Shadow Demon
Game 2prediction correct25:13
Gaimin Gladiators 53%PSG Quest 47%
The model gave 53% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 43:10.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
Morphlingdyrachyo
55% · 290 games47% · 171 game
Templar AssassinTA2000
Templar Assassin
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightQuinn
51% · 150 games47% · 410 games
SnapfireNo!ob
Snapfire
Underlord
UnderlordAce
54% · 82 games47% · 86 games
Anti-MageATF
Anti-Mage
Mirana
MiranatOfu
56% · 375 games45% · 361 game
EnchantressOmaR
Enchantress
Undying
UndyingSeleri
49% · 445 games50% · 314 games
ClockwerkKaori
Clockwerk
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 53%
Accuracy by game1 of 2