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The Bali Major 2023 · BO2
result vs prediction
Gaimin Gladiatorswin 2:0
series probability
84%16%
probability at match start · final 2:0
9Pandasloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Gaimin Gladiators

Rubick
Rubicksignature
tOfu · 55 games
73%
Undying
Undyingsignature
Seleri · 40 games
73%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Quinn · 37 games
68%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
tOfu · 33 games
76%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Ace · 32 games
72%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Seleri · 31 game
68%
Doom
Doomsignature
Ace · 28 games
64%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Quinn · 28 games
71%

9Pandas

Techies
Techiesoften banned
Antares · 50 games
54%
Rubick
Rubick
Antares · 34 games
47%
Doom
Doomsignature
MieRo · 28 games
71%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Magesignature
Antares · 26 games
62%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Solo · 23 games
57%
Undying
Undyingsignature
Solo · 23 games
70%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
MieRo · 21 game
57%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
MieRo · 21 game
62%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
690 picks · 473 bans
47%
Techies
Techies
615 picks · 646 bans
55%
Doom
Doom
569 picks · 1113 bans
53%
Disruptor
Disruptor
516 picks · 494 bans
52%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
515 picks · 1240 bans
57%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
485 picks · 1053 bans
49%
Enchantress
Enchantress
460 picks · 686 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
450 picks · 923 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)62% vs 46%
Hero pool strength58% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head3 – 0
Model total84% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct19:4
Gaimin Gladiators 69%9Pandas 31%
The model gave 69% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 24:32.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Leshrac
LeshracQuinn
59% · 144 games43% · 204 games
Ember Spiritkiyotaka
Ember Spirit
Ursa
Ursadyrachyo
51% · 105 games40% · 74 games
BloodseekerRAMZES666
Bloodseeker
Broodmother
BroodmotherAce
53% · 99 games49% · 45 games
Dark SeerMieRo
Dark Seer
Lion
LiontOfu
54% · 41 game51% · 90 games
TechiesAntares
Techies
Io
IoSeleri
55% · 55 games42% · 31 game
Elder TitanSolo
Elder Titan
Game 2prediction correct23:3
Gaimin Gladiators 71%9Pandas 29%
The model gave 71% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 14:53.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dark Seer
Dark SeerAce
57% · 83 games49% · 115 games
JuggernautRAMZES666
Juggernaut
Medusa
Medusadyrachyo
52% · 104 games57% · 37 games
Tinkerkiyotaka
Tinker
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritQuinn
46% · 249 games41% · 97 games
Legion CommanderMieRo
Legion Commander
Enchantress
EnchantressSeleri
44% · 179 games55% · 363 games
TechiesAntares
Techies
Rubick
RubicktOfu
51% · 456 games50% · 459 games
DisruptorSolo
Disruptor
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 84%
Series resultGaimin Gladiators 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2