?
arrow_backBack to match
European Pro League Season 37 · BO3
result vs prediction
Power Rangerswin 2:1
series probability
87%13%
probability at match start · final 2:1
ALIS VENTORUSloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Power Rangers

Slardar
Slardarsignature
nicky`cool · 29 games
62%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Immersion · 27 games
56%
Tiny
Tiny
nicky`cool · 27 games
52%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Immersion · 25 games
48%
Chen
Chensignature
Hduo · 20 games
70%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Immersion · 20 games
60%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Alberkaaa · 19 games
68%
Luna
Lunasignature
nesfeer · 19 games
68%

ALIS VENTORUS

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
waveformn · 11 games
64%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Delight · 7 games
29%
Luna
Luna
paw · 6 games
50%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
Norma · 6 games
50%
Huskar
Huskaroften banned
Panda · 5 games
80%
Rubick
Rubick
waveformn · 5 games
0%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Norma · 4 games
50%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Delight · 4 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
542 picks · 443 bans
49%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
476 picks · 248 bans
57%
Tiny
Tiny
476 picks · 376 bans
49%
Phoenix
Phoenix
475 picks · 531 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
430 picks · 371 bans
53%
Puck
Puck
359 picks · 879 bans
53%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
358 picks · 808 bans
48%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
356 picks · 898 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 42%
Hero pool strength55% Power Rangers
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total87% Power Rangers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Power Rangers 87%ALIS VENTORUS 13%
The model gave 87% on Power Rangers — the game was taken by ALIS VENTORUS.
Game 2prediction correct
Power Rangers 87%ALIS VENTORUS 13%
The model gave 87% on Power Rangers — the game was taken by Power Rangers.
Game 3prediction correct
Power Rangers 87%ALIS VENTORUS 13%
The model gave 87% on Power Rangers — the game was taken by Power Rangers.
Model check result
Model favoritePower Rangers · 87%
Series resultPower Rangers 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3