European Pro League Season 37 · BO3
result vs prediction
Rune Eaterswin 2:1series probability
68%32%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Enjoy Boysloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Rune Eaters
Ringmastersignature
ani-san · 48 games
Jakiro
monodrama · 45 games
Tusk
ani-san · 38 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Ethereal · 37 games
Tiny
ani-san · 36 games
Ogre Magisignature
monodrama · 31 game
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Ankou · 27 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Ankou · 27 games
Enjoy Boys
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
547 picks · 444 bans
Tiny
481 picks · 376 bans
Hoodwink
476 picks · 251 bans
Phoenix
476 picks · 529 bans
Tusk
433 picks · 371 bans
Puck
361 picks · 881 bans
Shadow Demon
359 picks · 903 bans
Warlock
358 picks · 217 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)46% vs 56%
Hero pool strength52% Rune Eaters
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total68% Rune Eaters
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Rune Eaters 68%Enjoy Boys 32%
The model gave 68% on Rune Eaters — the game was taken by Rune Eaters.
Game 2prediction missed
Rune Eaters 68%Enjoy Boys 32%
The model gave 68% on Rune Eaters — the game was taken by Enjoy Boys.
Game 3prediction correct
Rune Eaters 68%Enjoy Boys 32%
The model gave 68% on Rune Eaters — the game was taken by Rune Eaters.
Model check result
Model favoriteRune Eaters · 68%
Series resultRune Eaters 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3