European Pro League Season 37 · BO3
result vs prediction
Inner Circlewin 2:0series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Stelsloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Inner Circle
Warlock
Se · 22 games
Hoodwink
Fernans · 20 games
Tiny
Jing · 20 games
Tusk
Daze · 19 games
Jakiro
Se · 17 games
Puckoften banned
Supream^ · 16 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
niche · 15 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
niche · 15 games
Team Stels
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
ArrOw · 1 game
Phoenixoften banned
ArrOw · 1 game
Ringmaster
ArrOw · 1 game
Rubick
ArrOw · 1 game
Shadow Shaman
ArrOw · 1 game
Snapfire
ArrOw · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
549 picks · 444 bans
Tiny
481 picks · 379 bans
Hoodwink
477 picks · 252 bans
Phoenix
476 picks · 531 bans
Tusk
436 picks · 373 bans
Puck
365 picks · 882 bans
Shadow Demon
361 picks · 907 bans
Warlock
359 picks · 217 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)41% vs 60%
Hero pool strength51% Inner Circle
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total55% Inner Circle
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Inner Circle 55%Team Stels 45%
The model gave 55% on Inner Circle — the game was taken by Inner Circle.
Game 2prediction correct
Inner Circle 55%Team Stels 45%
The model gave 55% on Inner Circle — the game was taken by Inner Circle.
Model check result
Model favoriteInner Circle · 55%
Series resultInner Circle 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2