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Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 3. Южная Америка. Второй дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
NoPing VPNwin 2:0
series probability
35%65%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Universitario Esportsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

NoPing VPN

Underlord
Underlordoften banned
Oscar · 11 games
45%
Mirana
Mirana
sl4d1n- · 9 games
33%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
sl4d1n- · 8 games
63%
Undying
Undyingoften banned
Oscar · 8 games
13%
Silencer
Silencer
Accel · 7 games
43%
Ursa
Ursaoften banned
Mnz · 7 games
57%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Zxca · 5 games
60%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Yor · 5 games
20%

Universitario Esports

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
688 picks · 475 bans
47%
Techies
Techies
602 picks · 638 bans
55%
Doom
Doom
569 picks · 1109 bans
53%
Disruptor
Disruptor
526 picks · 496 bans
52%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
519 picks · 1232 bans
58%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
480 picks · 1043 bans
49%
Enchantress
Enchantress
460 picks · 677 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
450 picks · 918 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 71%
Hero pool strength52% Universitario Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total65% Universitario Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed13:12
NoPing VPN 35%Universitario Esports 65%
The model gave 65% on Universitario Esports — the game was taken by NoPing VPN in 33:19.
Game 2prediction missed23:8
NoPing VPN 35%Universitario Esports 65%
The model gave 65% on Universitario Esports — the game was taken by NoPing VPN in 35:53.
Model check result
Model favoriteUniversitario Esports · 65%
Series resultNoPing VPN 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2