European Pro League Season 37 · BO3
result vs prediction
ALIS VENTORUSloss 1:2series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Enjoy Boyswin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
ALIS VENTORUS
Hoodwinksignature
waveformn · 11 games
Phoenixoften banned
Delight · 7 games
Luna
paw · 6 games
Tidehunteroften banned
Norma · 6 games
Huskaroften banned
Panda · 5 games
Rubick
waveformn · 5 games
Pangolieroften banned
Norma · 4 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
Delight · 4 games
Enjoy Boys
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
555 picks · 451 bans
Tiny
485 picks · 383 bans
Hoodwink
480 picks · 252 bans
Phoenix
478 picks · 531 bans
Tusk
439 picks · 376 bans
Puck
367 picks · 894 bans
Shadow Demon
366 picks · 918 bans
Beastmaster
361 picks · 818 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% ALIS VENTORUS
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% ALIS VENTORUS
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
ALIS VENTORUS 58%Enjoy Boys 42%
The model gave 58% on ALIS VENTORUS — the game was taken by ALIS VENTORUS.
Game 2prediction missed
ALIS VENTORUS 58%Enjoy Boys 42%
The model gave 58% on ALIS VENTORUS — the game was taken by Enjoy Boys.
Game 3prediction missed
ALIS VENTORUS 58%Enjoy Boys 42%
The model gave 58% on ALIS VENTORUS — the game was taken by Enjoy Boys.
Model check result
Model favoriteALIS VENTORUS · 58%
Series resultEnjoy Boys 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3