Dota Enjoyer vs PSG Quest — prediction RMMQ 2023 · Dota 2

arrow_backBack to match

Riyadh Masters 2023 MENA Qualifier · BO3

result vs prediction

DEDota Enjoyerloss 0:2

series probability

8%92%

probability at match start · final 0:2

PSG Questwin 2:0

The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.

Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months

Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Dota Enjoyer

No games played over 6 months.

PSG Quest

Rubicksignature

OmaR · 28 games

61%

Clockwerksignature

Kaori · 22 games

68%

Phoenix

Kaori · 19 games

58%

Tidehuntersignature

Wuiter · 18 games

67%

Morphlingoften banned

TA2000 · 15 games

53%

Pangoliersignature

No!ob · 15 games

60%

Tiny

No!ob · 15 games

53%

Silencer

Kaori · 14 games

43%

Patch meta · 3 months

The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.

Rubick

705 picks · 495 bans

47%

Disruptor

569 picks · 506 bans

54%

Doom

563 picks · 1095 bans

54%

Techies

549 picks · 604 bans

54%

Beastmaster

536 picks · 1219 bans

57%

Ember Spirit

463 picks · 1040 bans

49%

Pangolier

461 picks · 920 bans

54%

Enchantress

457 picks · 664 bans

49%

Prediction components

Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%

Hero pool strength55% PSG Quest

Head-to-head0 – 0

Model total92% PSG Quest

Prediction by game vs result

Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.

Game 1prediction correct5:35

Dota Enjoyer 24%PSG Quest 76%

The model gave 76% on PSG Quest — the game was taken by PSG Quest in 22:04.

Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo