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DreamLeague Season 20 · BO3
result vs prediction
9Pandasloss 0:2
series probability
32%68%
probability at match start · final 0:2
LGD Gamingwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

9Pandas

Techies
Techiesoften banned
Antares · 51 game
57%
Rubick
Rubick
Antares · 38 games
47%
Doom
Doomsignature
MieRo · 29 games
69%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
Antares · 27 games
59%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Solo · 24 games
54%
Undying
Undyingsignature
Solo · 23 games
70%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
MieRo · 22 games
59%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
MieRo · 21 game
62%

LGD Gaming

Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
zeal · 23 games
83%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
NothingToSay · 21 game
62%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
NothingToSay · 21 game
81%
Phoenix
Phoenix
pLAnet · 21 game
57%
Disruptor
Disruptor
pLAnet · 18 games
56%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
pLAnet · 16 games
50%
Mirana
Miranasignature
pLAnet · 15 games
67%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
NothingToSay · 14 games
57%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
710 picks · 510 bans
47%
Disruptor
Disruptor
577 picks · 509 bans
54%
Doom
Doom
563 picks · 1095 bans
54%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
545 picks · 1229 bans
57%
Techies
Techies
542 picks · 595 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
466 picks · 1047 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
466 picks · 926 bans
55%
Enchantress
Enchantress
459 picks · 661 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)46% vs 51%
Hero pool strength54% LGD Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total68% LGD Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct16:41
9Pandas 41%LGD Gaming 59%
The model gave 59% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 50:43.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow Ranger
Drow RangerRAMZES666
44% · 189 games51% · 187 games
MorphlingNothingToSay
Morphling
Timbersaw
Timbersawkiyotaka
57% · 249 games51% · 269 games
Ember Spiritshiro
Ember Spirit
Lycan
LycanMieRo
51% · 178 games45% · 51 game
Brewmasterniu
Brewmaster
Clockwerk
ClockwerkSolo
51% · 440 games44% · 260 games
Undyingy`
Undying
Pugna
PugnaAntares
55% · 159 games49% · 448 games
RubickpLAnet
Rubick
Game 2prediction correct8:25
9Pandas 38%LGD Gaming 62%
The model gave 62% on LGD Gaming — the game was taken by LGD Gaming in 28:44.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Naga Siren
Naga SirenRAMZES666
50% · 149 games52% · 109 games
Lifestealershiro
Lifestealer
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritkiyotaka
46% · 212 games51% · 199 games
Broodmotherniu
Broodmother
Mars
MarsMieRo
47% · 132 games53% · 202 games
Primal BeastNothingToSay
Primal Beast
Techies
TechiesAntares
51% · 130 games46% · 150 games
Skywrath MagepLAnet
Skywrath Mage
Jakiro
JakiroSolo
50% · 77 games57% · 40 games
Elder Titany`
Elder Titan
Model check result
Model favoriteLGD Gaming · 68%
Series resultLGD Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2