?
arrow_backBack to match
Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 3. ЮВА. Второй дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Myth Avenue Gamingwin 2:0
series probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 2:0
UD Vessuwanloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Myth Avenue Gaming

Tusk
Tusksignature
Hishge · 16 games
69%
Rubick
Rubick
RR · 14 games
43%
Mirana
Miranasignature
RR · 11 games
73%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
xsilearn · 11 games
64%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
xsilearn · 10 games
50%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
xsilearn · 10 games
70%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
Meracle · 10 games
60%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
zeal · 9 games
56%

UD Vessuwan

Rubick
Rubick
boombell · 20 games
35%
Mirana
Mirana
LionaX · 13 games
54%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Beebie · 13 games
54%
Tiny
Tiny
Beebie · 13 games
54%
Snapfire
Snapfire
LionaX · 12 games
25%
Undying
Undyingoften banned
LionaX · 11 games
55%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
LionaX · 10 games
50%
Tusk
Tusk
boombell · 10 games
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
719 picks · 515 bans
47%
Disruptor
Disruptor
582 picks · 510 bans
54%
Doom
Doom
562 picks · 1095 bans
54%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
550 picks · 1231 bans
57%
Techies
Techies
539 picks · 592 bans
55%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
468 picks · 1051 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
468 picks · 928 bans
55%
Enchantress
Enchantress
458 picks · 660 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 50%
Hero pool strength59% Myth Avenue Gaming
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total70% Myth Avenue Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct34:32
Myth Avenue Gaming 61%UD Vessuwan 39%
The model gave 61% on Myth Avenue Gaming — the game was taken by Myth Avenue Gaming in 1:12:55.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Faceless Void
Faceless VoidMeracle
55% · 128 games47% · 283 games
MorphlingBeebie
Morphling
Pangolier
Pangolierxsilearn
50% · 329 games50% · 228 games
BloodseekerKNP
Bloodseeker
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightPoloson
48% · 146 games53% · 343 games
Techiesboombell
Techies
Magnus
Magnuszeal
50% · 194 games50% · 391 game
UndyingLionaX
Undying
Rubick
RubickRR
47% · 448 games
Game 2prediction correct44:38
Myth Avenue Gaming 61%UD Vessuwan 39%
The model gave 61% on Myth Avenue Gaming — the game was taken by Myth Avenue Gaming in 52:30.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Juggernaut
JuggernautMeracle
48% · 74 games53% · 158 games
TerrorbladeKNP
Terrorblade
Brewmaster
Brewmasterzeal
40% · 48 games52% · 259 games
PangolierBeebie
Pangolier
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritxsilearn
52% · 171 game55% · 38 games
Clinkzboombell
Clinkz
Enchantress
EnchantressPoloson
48% · 279 games48% · 222 games
UndyingLionaX
Undying
Pugna
PugnaRR
53% · 105 games
Model check result
Model favoriteMyth Avenue Gaming · 70%
Series resultMyth Avenue Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2