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DreamLeague Season 20 · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Asterloss 0:2
series probability
35%65%
probability at match start · final 0:2
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Aster

Doom
Doomoften banned
Xxs · 27 games
56%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
BoBoKa · 27 games
67%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Xxs · 25 games
56%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Fantasy · 23 games
48%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
SumaiL · 22 games
68%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Xwy · 21 game
67%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Xwy · 20 games
60%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
BoBoKa · 20 games
65%

BETBOOM TEAM

Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Save- · 23 games
61%
Tiny
Tiny
gpK~ · 22 games
59%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Nightfall · 21 game
57%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
Save- · 21 game
62%
Rubick
Rubick
Save- · 19 games
58%
Doom
Doomsignature
Pure~ · 17 games
76%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 15 games
67%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
Nightfall · 15 games
60%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
738 picks · 549 bans
47%
Disruptor
Disruptor
605 picks · 521 bans
54%
Doom
Doom
561 picks · 1094 bans
54%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
560 picks · 1268 bans
57%
Techies
Techies
516 picks · 572 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
475 picks · 946 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
466 picks · 1100 bans
49%
Enchantress
Enchantress
459 picks · 648 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)37% vs 53%
Hero pool strength51% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total65% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct11:16
Team Aster 42%BETBOOM TEAM 58%
The model gave 58% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 46:23.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Lancer
Phantom LancerMonet
48% · 103 games51% · 222 games
DoomPure~
Doom
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritSumaiL
50% · 479 games48% · 154 games
MorphlingNightfall
Morphling
Timbersaw
TimbersawXxs
55% · 243 games58% · 25 games
NecrophosgpK~
Necrophos
Pugna
PugnaFantasy
55% · 134 games46% · 398 games
RubickSave-
Rubick
Lion
LionBoBoKa
47% · 44 games46% · 204 games
UndyingTORONTOTOKYO
Undying
Game 2prediction correct18:22
Team Aster 40%BETBOOM TEAM 60%
The model gave 60% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 47:00.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Monkey King
Monkey KingMonet
52% · 229 games52% · 272 games
MorphlingNightfall
Morphling
Snapfire
SnapfireSumaiL
44% · 373 games47% · 447 games
Ember SpiritgpK~
Ember Spirit
Tidehunter
TidehunterXxs
49% · 111 games49% · 80 games
Legion CommanderPure~
Legion Commander
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonBoBoKa
42% · 87 games58% · 174 games
Keeper of the LightSave-
Keeper of the Light
Rubick
RubickFantasy
50% · 584 games56% · 411 games
UndyingTORONTOTOKYO
Undying
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 65%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2