BetBoom Streamers Battle 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Nix Teamwin 2:1series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Stray Teamloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Nix Team
No games played over 6 months.
Stray Team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
739 picks · 552 bans
Disruptor
606 picks · 522 bans
Doom
561 picks · 1095 bans
Beastmaster
560 picks · 1270 bans
Techies
516 picks · 572 bans
Pangolier
475 picks · 946 bans
Ember Spirit
467 picks · 1100 bans
Enchantress
459 picks · 648 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)70% vs 60%
Hero pool strength50% Nix Team
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total59% Stray Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed18:28
Nix Team 41%Stray Team 59%
The model gave 59% on Stray Team — the game was taken by Nix Team in 41:45.
Game 2prediction correct25:44
Nix Team 41%Stray Team 59%
The model gave 59% on Stray Team — the game was taken by Stray Team in 57:10.
Game 3prediction missed8:25
Nix Team 41%Stray Team 59%
The model gave 59% on Stray Team — the game was taken by Nix Team in 27:22.
Model check result
Model favoriteStray Team · 59%
Series resultNix Team 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3