BetBoom Streamers Battle 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
GoodWin Teamloss 0:2series probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Nix Teamwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
GoodWin Team
No games played over 6 months.
Nix Team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
740 picks · 576 bans
Disruptor
608 picks · 523 bans
Beastmaster
558 picks · 1284 bans
Doom
549 picks · 1095 bans
Techies
499 picks · 561 bans
Pangolier
475 picks · 952 bans
Ember Spirit
465 picks · 1113 bans
Enchantress
456 picks · 645 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)42% vs 67%
Hero pool strength50% GoodWin Team
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total64% Nix Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct26:9
GoodWin Team 36%Nix Team 64%
The model gave 64% on Nix Team — the game was taken by Nix Team in 32:10.
Game 2prediction correct22:36
GoodWin Team 36%Nix Team 64%
The model gave 64% on Nix Team — the game was taken by Nix Team in 45:27.
Model check result
Model favoriteNix Team · 64%
Series resultNix Team 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2