BetBoom Streamers Battle 3 · BO1
result vs prediction
NS Teamloss 0:1series probability
23%77%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Stray Teamwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
NS Team
Iooften banned
rostislav_999 · 7 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
4ce · 5 games
Dark Seeroften banned
4ce · 4 games
Gyrocopter
NS · 4 games
Juggernautoften banned
LenaGol0vach · 4 games
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
NS · 3 games
Earth Spirit
rostislav_999 · 3 games
Hoodwink
ShkeepeR · 3 games
Stray Team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
740 picks · 587 bans
Disruptor
609 picks · 525 bans
Doom
554 picks · 1100 bans
Beastmaster
552 picks · 1301 bans
Techies
494 picks · 552 bans
Pangolier
468 picks · 953 bans
Ember Spirit
465 picks · 1124 bans
Enchantress
452 picks · 646 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 54%
Hero pool strength55% NS Team
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total77% Stray Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct34:41
NS Team 23%Stray Team 77%
The model gave 77% on Stray Team — the game was taken by Stray Team in 43:54.
Model check result
Model favoriteStray Team · 77%
Series resultStray Team 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1