BetBoom Streamers Battle 3 · BO1
result vs prediction
YBN Teamloss 0:1series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 0:1
TpaBoMaH Teamwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
YBN Team
Disruptor
dabex · 10 games
Hoodwinksignature
KingR · 9 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
XaKoH · 6 games
Crystal Maidensignature
dabex · 6 games
Beastmasteroften banned
XaKoH · 5 games
Skywrath Mage
dabex · 5 games
Ursaoften banned
Dinozavrik · 5 games
Zeusoften banned
ybicanoooobov · 5 games
TpaBoMaH Team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
740 picks · 587 bans
Disruptor
609 picks · 525 bans
Doom
554 picks · 1100 bans
Beastmaster
552 picks · 1301 bans
Techies
494 picks · 552 bans
Pangolier
468 picks · 953 bans
Ember Spirit
465 picks · 1124 bans
Enchantress
452 picks · 646 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 64%
Hero pool strength51% YBN Team
Head-to-head0 – 4
Model total60% TpaBoMaH Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct25:39
YBN Team 40%TpaBoMaH Team 60%
The model gave 60% on TpaBoMaH Team — the game was taken by TpaBoMaH Team in 37:58.
Model check result
Model favoriteTpaBoMaH Team · 60%
Series resultTpaBoMaH Team 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1