BetBoom Streamers Battle 3 · BO1
result vs prediction
GoodWin Teamloss 0:1series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Nix Teamwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
GoodWin Team
No games played over 6 months.
Nix Team
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
751 picks · 615 bans
Disruptor
614 picks · 533 bans
Beastmaster
551 picks · 1335 bans
Doom
551 picks · 1085 bans
Techies
475 picks · 528 bans
Pangolier
471 picks · 965 bans
Ember Spirit
465 picks · 1163 bans
Enchantress
452 picks · 639 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 60%
Hero pool strength50% GoodWin Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% Nix Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct43:49
GoodWin Team 46%Nix Team 54%
The model gave 54% on Nix Team — the game was taken by Nix Team in 1:01:00.
Model check result
Model favoriteNix Team · 54%
Series resultNix Team 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1