BetBoom Streamers Battle 3 · BO1
result vs prediction
GoodWin Teamwin 1:0series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 1:0
NS Teamloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
GoodWin Team
No games played over 6 months.
NS Team
Iooften banned
rostislav_999 · 7 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
4ce · 5 games
Dark Seeroften banned
4ce · 4 games
Gyrocopter
NS · 4 games
Juggernautoften banned
LenaGol0vach · 4 games
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
NS · 3 games
Earth Spirit
rostislav_999 · 3 games
Hoodwink
ShkeepeR · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
751 picks · 620 bans
Disruptor
614 picks · 533 bans
Beastmaster
551 picks · 1337 bans
Doom
551 picks · 1085 bans
Techies
475 picks · 528 bans
Pangolier
471 picks · 966 bans
Ember Spirit
465 picks · 1164 bans
Enchantress
452 picks · 639 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)38% vs 46%
Hero pool strength55% NS Team
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total52% NS Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed24:68
GoodWin Team 48%NS Team 52%
The model gave 52% on NS Team — the game was taken by GoodWin Team in 48:10.
Model check result
Model favoriteNS Team · 52%
Series resultGoodWin Team 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1