DreamLeague Season 20 · BO2
result vs predictionseries probability
86%14%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Gaimin Gladiators
Rubicksignature
tOfu · 51 game
Pangoliersignature
Quinn · 36 games
Disruptorsignature
tOfu · 30 games
Nature's Prophetsignature
Ace · 28 games
Doomsignature
Ace · 27 games
Leshracsignature
Quinn · 27 games
Beastmastersignature
Ace · 26 games
Undyingsignature
Seleri · 26 games
BETBOOM TEAM
Enchantressoften banned
Save- · 21 game
Tiny
gpK~ · 21 game
Death Prophetsignature
Nightfall · 20 games
Pugnasignature
Save- · 19 games
Rubick
Save- · 19 games
Storm Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 15 games
Undyingsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 15 games
Terrorbladesignature
Nightfall · 14 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
750 picks · 621 bans
Disruptor
613 picks · 534 bans
Beastmaster
549 picks · 1334 bans
Doom
546 picks · 1082 bans
Techies
472 picks · 521 bans
Pangolier
468 picks · 966 bans
Ember Spirit
463 picks · 1165 bans
Enchantress
447 picks · 637 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)62% vs 49%
Hero pool strength56% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total86% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed14:23
Gaimin Gladiators 72%BETBOOM TEAM 28%
The model gave 72% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 42:58.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Faceless Voiddyrachyo
MedusaNightfall
Void SpiritQuinn
MagnusPure~
Dark SeerAce
TinygpK~
DoomtOfu
Keeper of the LightSave-
BatriderSeleri
Spirit BreakerTORONTOTOKYO
Game 2prediction missed5:30
Gaimin Gladiators 72%BETBOOM TEAM 28%
The model gave 72% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 40:48.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
MedusaAce
Phantom LancerNightfall
Lifestealerdyrachyo
DoomPure~
Void SpiritQuinn
PangoliergpK~
MiranatOfu
PugnaSave-
EnchantressSeleri
DisruptorTORONTOTOKYO
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 86%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2