Road To Asian Games · BO1
result vs prediction
Малайзияwin 1:0series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Таиландloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Малайзия
No games played over 6 months.
Таиланд
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
753 picks · 622 bans
Disruptor
612 picks · 535 bans
Beastmaster
548 picks · 1334 bans
Doom
544 picks · 1075 bans
Techies
468 picks · 513 bans
Pangolier
466 picks · 964 bans
Ember Spirit
460 picks · 1168 bans
Enchantress
447 picks · 638 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 33%
Hero pool strength50% Малайзия
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total65% Малайзия
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Малайзия 65%Таиланд 35%
The model gave 65% on Малайзия — the game was taken by Малайзия.
Model check result
Model favoriteМалайзия · 65%
Series resultМалайзия 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1