DreamLeague Season 20 · BO2
result vs prediction
Gaimin Gladiatorsloss 1:1series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 1:1
OGloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Gaimin Gladiators
Rubicksignature
tOfu · 50 games
Pangoliersignature
Quinn · 36 games
Disruptorsignature
tOfu · 29 games
Nature's Prophetsignature
Ace · 28 games
Doomsignature
Ace · 27 games
Leshracsignature
Quinn · 27 games
Beastmastersignature
Ace · 25 games
Ember Spiritsignature
Quinn · 25 games
OG
Rubick
Taiga · 32 games
Disruptor
Chuvash · 18 games
Invokeroften banned
bzm · 18 games
Keeper of the Lightsignature
Taiga · 17 games
Doomoften banned
DM · 16 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
Taiga · 15 games
Tinyoften banned
bzm · 15 games
Batrideroften banned
DM · 14 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
756 picks · 625 bans
Disruptor
611 picks · 535 bans
Beastmaster
545 picks · 1332 bans
Doom
542 picks · 1070 bans
Techies
466 picks · 500 bans
Pangolier
464 picks · 965 bans
Ember Spirit
463 picks · 1168 bans
Enchantress
445 picks · 639 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)64% vs 41%
Hero pool strength61% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head4 – 4
Model total63% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct17:4
Gaimin Gladiators 60%OG 40%
The model gave 60% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 22:36.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
BeastmasterAce
Faceless VoidYuragi
TimbersawQuinn
Storm Spiritbzm
Lifestealerdyrachyo
TidehunterDM
EnchantressSeleri
WindrangerCeb
DisruptortOfu
PugnaTaiga
Game 2prediction missed6:23
Gaimin Gladiators 60%OG 40%
The model gave 60% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by OG in 28:03.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphlingdyrachyo
Timbersawbzm
Void SpiritQuinn
WindrangerYuragi
Winter WyvernAce
VisageDM
RubicktOfu
ChenTaiga
UndyingSeleri
Monkey KingCeb
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 63%
Accuracy by game1 of 2