DreamLeague Season 20 · BO2
result vs prediction
Entityloss 1:1series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 1:1
BETBOOM TEAMloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Entity
No games played over 6 months.
BETBOOM TEAM
Death Prophetsignature
Nightfall · 20 games
Enchantresssignature
Save- · 20 games
Pugnasignature
Save- · 19 games
Rubick
Save- · 19 games
Tinyoften banned
gpK~ · 19 games
Storm Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 15 games
Undyingsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 15 games
Terrorbladesignature
Nightfall · 14 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
756 picks · 625 bans
Disruptor
611 picks · 535 bans
Beastmaster
545 picks · 1332 bans
Doom
542 picks · 1070 bans
Techies
466 picks · 500 bans
Pangolier
464 picks · 965 bans
Ember Spirit
463 picks · 1168 bans
Enchantress
445 picks · 639 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)27% vs 50%
Hero pool strength57% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head3 – 0
Model total57% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct36:22
Entity 43%BETBOOM TEAM 57%
The model gave 57% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 49:12.
Game 2prediction correct32:16
Entity 43%BETBOOM TEAM 57%
The model gave 57% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 35:49.
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 57%
Accuracy by game2 of 2