Road To Asian Games · BO3
result vs prediction
Лаосwin 2:0series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Таиландloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Лаос
No games played over 6 months.
Таиланд
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
756 picks · 630 bans
Disruptor
610 picks · 536 bans
Doom
537 picks · 1065 bans
Beastmaster
536 picks · 1330 bans
Ember Spirit
463 picks · 1174 bans
Pangolier
463 picks · 959 bans
Techies
460 picks · 488 bans
Enchantress
441 picks · 634 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 40%
Hero pool strength50% Лаос
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total57% Лаос
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Лаос 57%Таиланд 43%
The model gave 57% on Лаос — the game was taken by Лаос.
Game 2prediction correct
Лаос 57%Таиланд 43%
The model gave 57% on Лаос — the game was taken by Лаос.
Model check result
Model favoriteЛаос · 57%
Series resultЛаос 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2