Road To Asian Games · BO3
result vs prediction
Малайзияwin 2:0series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Филиппиныloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Малайзия
No games played over 6 months.
Филиппины
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
751 picks · 630 bans
Disruptor
608 picks · 536 bans
Doom
536 picks · 1063 bans
Beastmaster
534 picks · 1325 bans
Ember Spirit
463 picks · 1173 bans
Pangolier
460 picks · 956 bans
Techies
457 picks · 483 bans
Enchantress
440 picks · 633 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 60%
Hero pool strength50% Малайзия
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% Филиппины
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Малайзия 48%Филиппины 52%
The model gave 52% on Филиппины — the game was taken by Малайзия.
Game 2prediction missed
Малайзия 48%Филиппины 52%
The model gave 52% on Филиппины — the game was taken by Малайзия.
Model check result
Model favoriteФилиппины · 52%
Series resultМалайзия 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2