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DreamLeague Season 20 · BO2
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMloss 0:2
series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 0:2
9Pandaswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Death Prophet
Death Prophetsignature
Nightfall · 20 games
60%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Save- · 19 games
63%
Rubick
Rubick
Save- · 19 games
58%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
gpK~ · 19 games
58%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
Save- · 17 games
71%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 15 games
67%
Undying
Undyingsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 15 games
60%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
Nightfall · 14 games
64%

9Pandas

Techies
Techiesoften banned
Antares · 47 games
60%
Rubick
Rubick
Antares · 38 games
47%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Magesignature
Antares · 24 games
63%
Doom
Doomsignature
MieRo · 22 games
68%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Solo · 21 game
52%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
MieRo · 21 game
48%
Tiny
Tinysignature
kiyotaka · 21 game
67%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
MieRo · 20 games
60%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
756 picks · 627 bans
47%
Disruptor
Disruptor
607 picks · 533 bans
54%
Doom
Doom
537 picks · 1054 bans
55%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
536 picks · 1319 bans
58%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
462 picks · 1177 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
458 picks · 950 bans
55%
Techies
Techies
455 picks · 466 bans
56%
Mirana
Mirana
438 picks · 226 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 46%
Hero pool strength52% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total57% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed5:23
BETBOOM TEAM 55%9Pandas 45%
The model gave 55% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by 9Pandas in 30:31.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Troll Warlord
Troll WarlordNightfall
46% · 47 games51% · 133 games
MorphlingRAMZES666
Morphling
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassingpK~
51% · 129 games45% · 62 games
Windrangerkiyotaka
Windranger
Enchantress
EnchantressPure~
49% · 234 games54% · 55 games
LycanMieRo
Lycan
Bounty Hunter
Bounty HunterSave-
59% · 35 games49% · 113 games
Skywrath MageAntares
Skywrath Mage
Spirit Breaker
Spirit BreakerTORONTOTOKYO
47% · 93 games52% · 175 games
UndyingSolo
Undying
Game 2prediction missed
BETBOOM TEAM 57%9Pandas 43%
The model gave 57% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by 9Pandas.
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 57%
Series result9Pandas 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2