Road To Asian Games · BO1
result vs prediction
Таиландloss 0:1series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Филиппиныwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Таиланд
No games played over 6 months.
Филиппины
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
751 picks · 635 bans
Disruptor
604 picks · 535 bans
Doom
532 picks · 1038 bans
Beastmaster
530 picks · 1308 bans
Ember Spirit
460 picks · 1172 bans
Pangolier
454 picks · 944 bans
Mirana
439 picks · 225 bans
Techies
438 picks · 454 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Таиланд
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total52% Таиланд
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Таиланд 52%Филиппины 48%
The model gave 52% on Таиланд — the game was taken by Филиппины.
Model check result
Model favoriteТаиланд · 52%
Series resultФилиппины 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1