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DreamLeague Season 20 · BO2
result vs prediction
Shopify Rebellionloss 0:2
series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 0:2
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Shopify Rebellion

Rubick
Rubicksignature
Cr1t- · 27 games
74%
Undying
Undyingsignature
Fly · 27 games
74%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
SabeRLight- · 24 games
75%
Doom
Doomsignature
SabeRLight- · 21 game
62%
Mirana
Miranasignature
Cr1t- · 20 games
75%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Abed · 18 games
72%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Cr1t- · 18 games
61%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendsignature
Arteezy · 15 games
80%

BETBOOM TEAM

Death Prophet
Death Prophetsignature
Nightfall · 20 games
60%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Save- · 19 games
63%
Rubick
Rubick
Save- · 19 games
58%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
gpK~ · 19 games
58%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
Save- · 16 games
69%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 14 games
64%
Undying
Undyingoften banned
TORONTOTOKYO · 14 games
57%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 13 games
77%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
748 picks · 634 bans
47%
Disruptor
Disruptor
603 picks · 534 bans
54%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
530 picks · 1302 bans
58%
Doom
Doom
530 picks · 1031 bans
55%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
456 picks · 1165 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
451 picks · 939 bans
54%
Mirana
Mirana
437 picks · 224 bans
59%
Techies
Techies
432 picks · 449 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 53%
Hero pool strength55% Shopify Rebellion
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total61% Shopify Rebellion
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed18:29
Shopify Rebellion 54%BETBOOM TEAM 46%
The model gave 54% on Shopify Rebellion — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 46:09.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Juggernaut
JuggernautArteezy
55% · 70 games54% · 132 games
MorphlingNightfall
Morphling
Timbersaw
TimbersawMiracle-
49% · 119 games53% · 255 games
PangoliergpK~
Pangolier
Magnus
MagnusSabeRLight-
41% · 174 games44% · 82 games
TidehunterPure~
Tidehunter
Batrider
BatriderFly
50% · 314 games53% · 177 games
TechiesSave-
Techies
Lion
LionCr1t-
40% · 43 games57% · 74 games
Shadow DemonTORONTOTOKYO
Shadow Demon
Game 2prediction missed17:27
Shopify Rebellion 56%BETBOOM TEAM 44%
The model gave 56% on Shopify Rebellion — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 34:13.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Batrider
BatriderSabeRLight-
53% · 251 game49% · 166 games
TerrorbladeNightfall
Terrorblade
Timbersaw
TimbersawMiracle-
51% · 158 games46% · 179 games
MagnusPure~
Magnus
Windranger
WindrangerArteezy
46% · 116 games52% · 191 game
Void SpiritgpK~
Void Spirit
Doom
DoomCr1t-
56% · 301 game57% · 159 games
Keeper of the LightSave-
Keeper of the Light
Phoenix
PhoenixFly
44% · 112 games46% · 243 games
UndyingTORONTOTOKYO
Undying
Model check result
Model favoriteShopify Rebellion · 61%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2