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DreamLeague Season 20 · BO2
result vs prediction
Team Liquidloss 1:1
series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Evil Geniusesloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Liquid

Rubick
Rubicksignature
Boxi · 32 games
78%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Nisha · 23 games
74%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
iNSaNiA · 21 game
81%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
iNSaNiA · 20 games
75%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
miCKe · 20 games
80%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Nisha · 20 games
70%
Doom
Doomsignature
zai · 19 games
79%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
miCKe · 18 games
67%

Evil Geniuses

Rubick
Rubick
Matthew · 28 games
50%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetsignature
Chris Luck · 27 games
67%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Panda · 24 games
71%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
Chris Luck · 23 games
70%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Chris Luck · 23 games
61%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
Wisper · 22 games
64%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
Wisper · 21 game
71%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Chris Luck · 21 game
52%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
743 picks · 630 bans
47%
Disruptor
Disruptor
603 picks · 533 bans
54%
Doom
Doom
528 picks · 1021 bans
55%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
527 picks · 1294 bans
59%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
455 picks · 1159 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
449 picks · 933 bans
54%
Mirana
Mirana
432 picks · 224 bans
58%
Enchantress
Enchantress
428 picks · 615 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 54%
Hero pool strength57% Team Liquid
Head-to-head4 – 0
Model total62% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed19:39
Team Liquid 57%Evil Geniuses 43%
The model gave 57% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Evil Geniuses in 29:15.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
LunamiCKe
60% · 51 game44% · 125 games
BloodseekerPakazs
Bloodseeker
Visage
Visagezai
58% · 120 games49% · 138 games
Death ProphetChris Luck
Death Prophet
Void Spirit
Void SpiritNisha
52% · 138 games43% · 162 games
MagnusWisper
Magnus
Spirit Breaker
Spirit BreakeriNSaNiA
50% · 113 games47% · 59 games
Bounty HunterMatthew
Bounty Hunter
Techies
TechiesBoxi
57% · 187 games42% · 125 games
Skywrath MagePanda
Skywrath Mage
Game 2prediction correct47:11
Team Liquid 58%Evil Geniuses 42%
The model gave 58% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 30:01.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Bloodseeker
BloodseekermiCKe
53% · 122 games53% · 141 game
MagnusPakazs
Magnus
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritNisha
51% · 137 games34% · 22 games
BrewmasterWisper
Brewmaster
Axe
Axezai
56% · 28 games40% · 197 games
TinyChris Luck
Tiny
Pugna
PugnaBoxi
59% · 61 game46% · 61 game
Bounty HunterMatthew
Bounty Hunter
Techies
TechiesiNSaNiA
61% · 162 games40% · 89 games
LichPanda
Lich
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 62%
Accuracy by game1 of 2