DreamLeague Season 20 · BO2
result vs prediction
Entityloss 0:2series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 0:2
9Pandaswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Entity
No games played over 6 months.
9Pandas
Techiesoften banned
Antares · 46 games
Rubick
Antares · 37 games
Skywrath Magesignature
Antares · 24 games
Doomsignature
MieRo · 22 games
Nature's Prophetoften banned
MieRo · 21 game
Tinysignature
kiyotaka · 21 game
Disruptor
Solo · 20 games
Enigmasignature
MieRo · 20 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
741 picks · 628 bans
Disruptor
602 picks · 529 bans
Beastmaster
523 picks · 1291 bans
Doom
522 picks · 1019 bans
Ember Spirit
454 picks · 1154 bans
Pangolier
449 picks · 928 bans
Mirana
428 picks · 224 bans
Techies
425 picks · 432 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)32% vs 48%
Hero pool strength55% 9Pandas
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% 9Pandas
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct26:33
Entity 42%9Pandas 58%
The model gave 58% on 9Pandas — the game was taken by 9Pandas in 37:00.
Game 2prediction correct25:13
Entity 42%9Pandas 58%
The model gave 58% on 9Pandas — the game was taken by 9Pandas in 31:15.
Model check result
Model favorite9Pandas · 58%
Series result9Pandas 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2