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DreamLeague Season 20 · BO2
result vs prediction
Gaimin Gladiatorsloss 1:1
series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Shopify Rebellionloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Gaimin Gladiators

Rubick
Rubicksignature
tOfu · 45 games
73%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Quinn · 36 games
67%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
tOfu · 29 games
76%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
Ace · 28 games
61%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
Quinn · 27 games
78%
Doom
Doomsignature
Ace · 26 games
69%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Ace · 25 games
76%
Undying
Undyingsignature
Seleri · 24 games
83%

Shopify Rebellion

Rubick
Rubicksignature
Cr1t- · 27 games
74%
Undying
Undyingsignature
Fly · 27 games
74%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
SabeRLight- · 24 games
75%
Doom
Doomsignature
SabeRLight- · 21 game
62%
Mirana
Miranasignature
Fly · 19 games
79%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Cr1t- · 18 games
61%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Abed · 17 games
76%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Cr1t- · 15 games
73%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
741 picks · 628 bans
47%
Disruptor
Disruptor
602 picks · 529 bans
54%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
523 picks · 1291 bans
59%
Doom
Doom
522 picks · 1019 bans
56%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
454 picks · 1154 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
449 picks · 928 bans
54%
Mirana
Mirana
428 picks · 224 bans
59%
Techies
Techies
425 picks · 432 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 61%
Hero pool strength51% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total53% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed28:17
Gaimin Gladiators 50%Shopify Rebellion 50%
The model gave 50% on Shopify Rebellion — the game was taken by Gaimin Gladiators in 42:09.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Timbersaw
TimbersawQuinn
50% · 145 games52% · 195 games
Shadow FiendArteezy
Shadow Fiend
Faceless Void
Faceless Voiddyrachyo
51% · 92 games51% · 205 games
Storm SpiritMiracle-
Storm Spirit
Visage
VisageAce
52% · 109 games46% · 138 games
MagnusSabeRLight-
Magnus
Enchantress
EnchantressSeleri
50% · 265 games55% · 423 games
MiranaCr1t-
Mirana
Rubick
RubicktOfu
45% · 447 games48% · 97 games
PugnaFly
Pugna
Game 2prediction missed22:32
Gaimin Gladiators 51%Shopify Rebellion 49%
The model gave 51% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by Shopify Rebellion in 39:23.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Abaddon
Abaddondyrachyo
45% · 44 games52% · 60 games
EarthshakerMiracle-
Earthshaker
Dark Seer
Dark SeerAce
56% · 63 games50% · 260 games
BeastmasterSabeRLight-
Beastmaster
Void Spirit
Void SpiritQuinn
55% · 135 games52% · 136 games
Faceless VoidArteezy
Faceless Void
Mirana
MiranatOfu
51% · 182 games53% · 89 games
VenomancerFly
Venomancer
Batrider
BatriderSeleri
39% · 208 games49% · 87 games
Shadow DemonCr1t-
Shadow Demon
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 53%
Accuracy by game0 of 2