?
arrow_backBack to match
Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 3. Южная Америка. Второй дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Lavaloss 0:2
series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Universitario Esportswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Lava

Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakersignature
JimmyCoff666 · 11 games
73%
Undying
Undyingoften banned
JimmyCoff666 · 9 games
56%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
JimmyCoff666 · 8 games
50%
Disruptor
Disruptor
JimmyCoff666 · 5 games
80%
Silencer
Silenceroften banned
JimmyCoff666 · 5 games
80%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
drakeel · 4 games
50%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
payk · 4 games
75%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magi
JimmyCoff666 · 4 games
75%

Universitario Esports

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
722 picks · 619 bans
47%
Disruptor
Disruptor
598 picks · 525 bans
54%
Doom
Doom
508 picks · 985 bans
55%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
505 picks · 1261 bans
59%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
448 picks · 1126 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
441 picks · 902 bans
54%
Mirana
Mirana
420 picks · 222 bans
58%
Enchantress
Enchantress
415 picks · 604 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 67%
Hero pool strength56% Lava
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% Lava
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed25:33
Lava 53%Universitario Esports 47%
The model gave 53% on Lava — the game was taken by Universitario Esports in 47:55.
Game 2prediction missed11:26
Lava 53%Universitario Esports 47%
The model gave 53% on Lava — the game was taken by Universitario Esports in 35:06.
Model check result
Model favoriteLava · 53%
Series resultUniversitario Esports 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2