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Pinnacle Cup: Malta Vibes #2 · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:1
series probability
78%22%
probability at match start · final 2:1
One Moveloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Death Prophet
Death Prophetsignature
Nightfall · 19 games
63%
Rubick
Rubick
Save- · 19 games
58%
Tiny
Tinysignature
gpK~ · 18 games
61%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Save- · 16 games
63%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
Save- · 15 games
73%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 13 games
77%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
gpK~ · 13 games
69%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 13 games
62%

One Move

Mirana
Mirana
Gilgir · 22 games
55%
Rubick
Rubick
Gilgir · 19 games
42%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Gilgir · 17 games
41%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Ainkrad · 15 games
40%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
AfterLife · 14 games
64%
Tusk
Tusk
Ainkrad · 12 games
42%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Panto · 11 games
45%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Ainkrad · 11 games
55%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
713 picks · 615 bans
47%
Disruptor
Disruptor
595 picks · 518 bans
54%
Doom
Doom
498 picks · 961 bans
55%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
497 picks · 1237 bans
59%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
442 picks · 1104 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
432 picks · 885 bans
54%
Mirana
Mirana
416 picks · 221 bans
58%
Enchantress
Enchantress
411 picks · 593 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 43%
Hero pool strength57% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head9 – 1
Model total78% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct15:14
BETBOOM TEAM 66%One Move 34%
The model gave 66% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 36:58.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sven
SvenNightfall
52% · 60 games48% · 121 game
BloodseekerMunkushi~
Bloodseeker
Legion Commander
Legion CommanderPure~
47% · 71 game49% · 142 games
Void SpiritAinkrad
Void Spirit
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritgpK~
53% · 185 games53% · 102 games
UnderlordAfterLife
Underlord
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightSave-
52% · 175 games48% · 202 games
BatriderGilgir
Batrider
Crystal Maiden
Crystal MaidenTORONTOTOKYO
49% · 231 game49% · 155 games
SilencerPanto
Silencer
Game 2prediction missed20:32
BETBOOM TEAM 67%One Move 33%
The model gave 67% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by One Move in 39:49.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Doom
DoomPure~
53% · 157 games56% · 126 games
MedusaMunkushi~
Medusa
Faceless Void
Faceless VoidNightfall
58% · 121 game48% · 215 games
Void SpiritAfterLife
Void Spirit
Pangolier
PangoliergpK~
48% · 264 games50% · 60 games
Bounty HunterAinkrad
Bounty Hunter
Pugna
PugnaSave-
44% · 83 games42% · 286 games
BatriderGilgir
Batrider
Silencer
SilencerTORONTOTOKYO
48% · 132 games53% · 70 games
Shadow DemonPanto
Shadow Demon
Game 3prediction correct31:12
BETBOOM TEAM 67%One Move 33%
The model gave 67% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 29:10.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeNightfall
49% · 195 games55% · 196 games
MorphlingMunkushi~
Morphling
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassingpK~
54% · 136 games52% · 144 games
BloodseekerAfterLife
Bloodseeker
Doom
DoomPure~
56% · 233 games51% · 180 games
TimbersawAinkrad
Timbersaw
Enchantress
EnchantressSave-
46% · 277 games47% · 255 games
Crystal MaidenPanto
Crystal Maiden
Lich
LichTORONTOTOKYO
41% · 102 games48% · 168 games
Skywrath MageGilgir
Skywrath Mage
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 78%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3