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Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 3. Северная Америка. Первый дивизион · BO1
result vs prediction
B8 Esportsloss 0:1
series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Sand King Gomezwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

B8 Esports

Rubick
Rubick
CTOMAHEH1 · 12 games
8%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Dendi · 10 games
20%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Funn1k · 9 games
11%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Lodine · 8 games
50%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
CTOMAHEH1 · 7 games
43%
Techies
Techies
Lodine · 7 games
29%
Alchemist
Alchemistsignature
StoneBank · 6 games
67%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
CTOMAHEH1 · 6 games
33%

Sand King Gomez

Mirana
Mirana
N1NE · 11 games
36%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
N1NE · 7 games
57%
Slark
Slarkoften banned
NeKo · 5 games
80%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
N1NE · 4 games
100%
Silencer
Silenceroften banned
Jubei · 4 games
0%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinoften banned
N1NE · 3 games
33%
Phantom Lancer
Phantom Lanceroften banned
NeKo · 3 games
33%
Rubick
Rubick
N1NE · 3 games
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
710 picks · 615 bans
47%
Disruptor
Disruptor
594 picks · 516 bans
54%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
494 picks · 1227 bans
59%
Doom
Doom
494 picks · 951 bans
55%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
440 picks · 1096 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
427 picks · 882 bans
54%
Mirana
Mirana
415 picks · 219 bans
58%
Enchantress
Enchantress
410 picks · 587 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 48%
Hero pool strength57% Sand King Gomez
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total57% B8 Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed35:42
B8 Esports 51%Sand King Gomez 49%
The model gave 51% on B8 Esports — the game was taken by Sand King Gomez in 1:02:34.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ursa
UrsaStoneBank
47% · 42 games49% · 181 game
Keeper of the LightN1NE
Keeper of the Light
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightDendi
53% · 53 games57% · 90 games
IoJubei
Io
Marci
MarciFunn1k
50% · 64 games
Batrider
BatriderCTOMAHEH1
33% · 57 games
Techies
TechiesLodine
55% · 55 games
Model check result
Model favoriteB8 Esports · 57%
Series resultSand King Gomez 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1