Pinnacle Cup: Malta Vibes #2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Natus Vincere Juniorloss 0:2series probability
32%68%
probability at match start · final 0:2
kefteme.mp3win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Natus Vincere Junior
Rubick
Daze · 10 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
gotthejuice · 9 games
Disruptor
Riddys · 7 games
Mirana
Daze · 7 games
Tiny
Ri4man · 7 games
Naga Sirenoften banned
gotthejuice · 5 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
gotthejuice · 5 games
Beastmasteroften banned
pma · 4 games
kefteme.mp3
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
707 picks · 602 bans
Disruptor
570 picks · 499 bans
Beastmaster
471 picks · 1147 bans
Doom
465 picks · 851 bans
Ember Spirit
419 picks · 1063 bans
Pangolier
399 picks · 855 bans
Enchantress
396 picks · 562 bans
Mirana
392 picks · 215 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 77%
Hero pool strength52% Natus Vincere Junior
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total68% kefteme.mp3
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct10:23
Natus Vincere Junior 32%kefteme.mp3 68%
The model gave 68% on kefteme.mp3 — the game was taken by kefteme.mp3 in 28:36.
Game 2prediction correct7:16
Natus Vincere Junior 32%kefteme.mp3 68%
The model gave 68% on kefteme.mp3 — the game was taken by kefteme.mp3 in 28:40.
Model check result
Model favoritekefteme.mp3 · 68%
Series resultkefteme.mp3 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2