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Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 3. Западная Европа. Первый дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Liquidloss 0:2
series probability
89%11%
probability at match start · final 0:2
PSG Questwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Liquid

Rubick
Rubicksignature
Boxi · 32 games
78%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
iNSaNiA · 21 game
81%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Nisha · 21 game
81%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
iNSaNiA · 20 games
75%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
miCKe · 20 games
80%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Nisha · 20 games
70%
Doom
Doomsignature
zai · 19 games
79%
Mirana
Miranasignature
Boxi · 17 games
82%

PSG Quest

Rubick
Rubicksignature
OmaR · 32 games
66%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Kaori · 21 game
67%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
Kaori · 21 game
62%
Tidehunter
Tidehuntersignature
Wuiter · 18 games
67%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
TA2000 · 17 games
59%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
No!ob · 17 games
59%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
No!ob · 16 games
56%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
No!ob · 16 games
63%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
697 picks · 599 bans
48%
Disruptor
Disruptor
570 picks · 495 bans
54%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
465 picks · 1138 bans
59%
Doom
Doom
464 picks · 844 bans
55%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
413 picks · 1057 bans
50%
Enchantress
Enchantress
392 picks · 554 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
392 picks · 847 bans
54%
Mirana
Mirana
390 picks · 215 bans
58%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 42%
Hero pool strength60% Team Liquid
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total89% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed20:30
Team Liquid 77%PSG Quest 23%
The model gave 77% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by PSG Quest in 37:33.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Underlord
Underlordzai
46% · 72 games44% · 157 games
TerrorbladeTA2000
Terrorblade
Bloodseeker
BloodseekermiCKe
54% · 122 games47% · 174 games
Void SpiritNo!ob
Void Spirit
Pangolier
PangolierNisha
52% · 291 game38% · 121 game
MagnusATF
Magnus
Techies
TechiesBoxi
60% · 137 games46% · 45 games
Shadow DemonOmaR
Shadow Demon
Lich
LichiNSaNiA
59% · 83 games52% · 208 games
ClockwerkKaori
Clockwerk
Game 2prediction missed31:29
Team Liquid 76%PSG Quest 24%
The model gave 76% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by PSG Quest in 44:05.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Faceless Void
Faceless VoidmiCKe
56% · 112 games48% · 87 games
JuggernautTA2000
Juggernaut
Void Spirit
Void SpiritNisha
50% · 158 games50% · 137 games
TimbersawATF
Timbersaw
Marci
Marcizai
50% · 211 games54% · 276 games
PangolierNo!ob
Pangolier
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath MageBoxi
48% · 128 games55% · 120 games
TechiesOmaR
Techies
Oracle
OracleiNSaNiA
42% · 56 games40% · 45 games
Shadow DemonKaori
Shadow Demon
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 89%
Series resultPSG Quest 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2