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DreamLeague Division 2 Season 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
Breeki Cheekiwin 2:0
series probability
23%77%
probability at match start · final 2:0
HULIGANIloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Breeki Cheeki

Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
OneJey · 6 games
67%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
ChodΣX · 6 games
50%
Chen
Chenoften banned
asdekor_r · 5 games
40%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
DarkLord^ · 4 games
50%
Magnus
Magnus
OneJey · 4 games
50%
Muerta
Muerta
DarkLord^ · 4 games
75%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
спортик · 4 games
25%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
ChodΣX · 4 games
50%

HULIGANI

Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
slimeyao · 45 games
69%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Bb3px · 44 games
70%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Bb3px · 41 game
49%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Mirage · 38 games
58%
Jakiro
Jakiro
RESPECT · 37 games
49%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Magesignature
slimeyao · 37 games
68%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
Bb3px · 34 games
56%
Tiny
Tiny
erase · 30 games
57%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
608 picks · 545 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
531 picks · 407 bans
49%
Phoenix
Phoenix
477 picks · 531 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
468 picks · 411 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
465 picks · 237 bans
57%
Warlock
Warlock
395 picks · 244 bans
49%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
390 picks · 1017 bans
56%
Puck
Puck
385 picks · 908 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 61%
Hero pool strength54% HULIGANI
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total77% HULIGANI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed28:6
Breeki Cheeki 34%HULIGANI 66%
The model gave 66% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by Breeki Cheeki in 31:56.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Beastmaster
BeastmasterDarkLord^
54% · 298 games52% · 78 games
Lunassnovv1
Luna
Tiny
Tinyспортик
50% · 347 games46% · 161 game
AxeCorrupted
Axe
Bristleback
BristlebackChodΣX
47% · 182 games52% · 203 games
KunkkaMirage
Kunkka
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightOneJey
54% · 81 game51% · 336 games
Hoodwinksayuw
Hoodwink
Io
Ioasdekor_r
41% · 23 games47% · 153 games
SilencerRESPECT
Silencer
Game 2prediction missed40:21
Breeki Cheeki 35%HULIGANI 65%
The model gave 65% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by Breeki Cheeki in 49:48.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Muerta
MuertaDarkLord^
58% · 183 games55% · 91 game
Faceless Voidssnovv1
Faceless Void
Pangolier
Pangolierспортик
36% · 280 games53% · 298 games
Ember SpiritMirage
Ember Spirit
Legion Commander
Legion CommanderChodΣX
59% · 18 games48% · 236 games
BristlebackCorrupted
Bristleback
Hoodwink
HoodwinkOneJey
47% · 320 games54% · 223 games
Rubicksayuw
Rubick
Enchantress
Enchantressasdekor_r
44% · 119 games55% · 72 games
TechiesRESPECT
Techies
Model check result
Model favoriteHULIGANI · 77%
Series resultBreeki Cheeki 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2