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Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 3. Восточная Европа. Первый дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Team Spiritwin 2:1
series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 2:1
BETBOOM TEAMloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Team Spirit

Rubick
Rubicksignature
Mira · 48 games
67%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
Mira · 28 games
61%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Miposhka · 24 games
79%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Larl · 24 games
67%
Undying
Undyingsignature
Miposhka · 21 game
62%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Collapse · 20 games
75%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Collapse · 18 games
72%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Larl · 18 games
67%

BETBOOM TEAM

Death Prophet
Death Prophetsignature
Nightfall · 19 games
63%
Rubick
Rubick
Save- · 19 games
58%
Tiny
Tiny
gpK~ · 17 games
59%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
Save- · 14 games
71%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 13 games
77%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
gpK~ · 13 games
69%
Mirana
Miranasignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 12 games
67%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
gpK~ · 12 games
58%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
698 picks · 598 bans
47%
Disruptor
Disruptor
563 picks · 493 bans
54%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
461 picks · 1120 bans
58%
Doom
Doom
453 picks · 831 bans
55%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
408 picks · 1050 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
387 picks · 840 bans
54%
Enchantress
Enchantress
386 picks · 550 bans
50%
Mirana
Mirana
385 picks · 210 bans
57%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)49% vs 46%
Hero pool strength52% Team Spirit
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total65% Team Spirit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct23:17
Team Spirit 56%BETBOOM TEAM 44%
The model gave 56% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 38:22.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Troll Warlord
Troll WarlordYatoro
51% · 57 games44% · 90 games
Void SpiritgpK~
Void Spirit
Batrider
BatriderLarl
53% · 161 game52% · 54 games
Chaos KnightNightfall
Chaos Knight
Tidehunter
TidehunterCollapse
45% · 84 games42% · 97 games
MagnusPure~
Magnus
Techies
TechiesMira
56% · 150 games48% · 139 games
EnchantressSave-
Enchantress
Lich
LichMiposhka
54% · 97 games54% · 169 games
DisruptorTORONTOTOKYO
Disruptor
Game 2prediction missed2:23
Team Spirit 56%BETBOOM TEAM 44%
The model gave 56% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 30:45.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
MorphlingYatoro
55% · 145 games58% · 87 games
Templar AssassingpK~
Templar Assassin
Void Spirit
Void SpiritLarl
43% · 126 games59% · 84 games
BloodseekerNightfall
Bloodseeker
Tidehunter
TidehunterCollapse
42% · 58 games52% · 171 game
DoomPure~
Doom
Lich
LichMiposhka
46% · 69 games49% · 156 games
EnchantressSave-
Enchantress
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath MageMira
48% · 138 games46% · 38 games
OracleTORONTOTOKYO
Oracle
Game 3prediction correct21:10
Team Spirit 57%BETBOOM TEAM 43%
The model gave 57% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 32:21.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Monkey King
Monkey KingYatoro
52% · 145 games49% · 178 games
Void SpiritgpK~
Void Spirit
Magnus
MagnusCollapse
48% · 93 games53% · 182 games
BloodseekerNightfall
Bloodseeker
Pangolier
PangolierLarl
53% · 263 games51% · 105 games
Spirit BreakerPure~
Spirit Breaker
Rubick
RubickMira
47% · 277 games49% · 313 games
EnchantressSave-
Enchantress
Lich
LichMiposhka
51% · 63 games48% · 63 games
OracleTORONTOTOKYO
Oracle
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Spirit · 65%
Series resultTeam Spirit 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3