Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 3. Восточная Европа. Первый дивизион · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
9Pandas
Techies
Antares · 42 games
Rubick
Antares · 36 games
Nature's Prophetoften banned
MieRo · 21 game
Skywrath Magesignature
Antares · 21 game
Disruptor
Solo · 20 games
Doomsignature
MieRo · 20 games
Tinysignature
kiyotaka · 20 games
Enigmasignature
MieRo · 19 games
BETBOOM TEAM
Death Prophetsignature
Nightfall · 19 games
Rubick
Save- · 19 games
Tiny
gpK~ · 16 games
Pugnasignature
Save- · 14 games
Clockwerksignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 13 games
Leshracsignature
gpK~ · 13 games
Miranasignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 12 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
gpK~ · 12 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
693 picks · 596 bans
Disruptor
553 picks · 487 bans
Beastmaster
443 picks · 1089 bans
Doom
441 picks · 779 bans
Ember Spirit
403 picks · 1017 bans
Mirana
379 picks · 204 bans
Pangolier
376 picks · 823 bans
Enchantress
372 picks · 544 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 44%
Hero pool strength51% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% 9Pandas
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed16:42
9Pandas 53%BETBOOM TEAM 47%
The model gave 53% on 9Pandas — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 47:03.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
WindrangerRAMZES666
Faceless VoidNightfall
Storm Spiritkiyotaka
MagnusPure~
EnchantressAntares
TinygpK~
Spirit BreakerMieRo
TechiesSave-
UndyingSolo
LichTORONTOTOKYO
Game 2prediction missed6:29
9Pandas 53%BETBOOM TEAM 47%
The model gave 53% on 9Pandas — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 22:51.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Invokerkiyotaka
BloodseekerNightfall
AlchemistRAMZES666
TidehunterPure~
BeastmasterMieRo
Void SpiritgpK~
Skywrath MageAntares
EnchantressSave-
JakiroSolo
LichTORONTOTOKYO
Model check result
Model favorite9Pandas · 54%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2