Pinnacle Cup: Malta Vibes #2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Tengriloss 0:2series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 0:2
MoneyMakerswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Tengri
No games played over 6 months.
MoneyMakers
Rubick
Bignum · 18 games
Clockwerk
CeMaTheSlayeR · 14 games
Death Prophetoften banned
Bb3px · 12 games
Disruptor
Bignum · 12 games
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Lukas · 9 games
Phoenix
CeMaTheSlayeR · 9 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Bb3px · 8 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Egor · 8 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
692 picks · 596 bans
Disruptor
553 picks · 487 bans
Doom
441 picks · 777 bans
Beastmaster
440 picks · 1088 bans
Ember Spirit
402 picks · 1015 bans
Mirana
379 picks · 204 bans
Pangolier
376 picks · 820 bans
Enchantress
372 picks · 544 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 47%
Hero pool strength51% Tengri
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% Tengri
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed41:28
Tengri 54%MoneyMakers 46%
The model gave 54% on Tengri — the game was taken by MoneyMakers in 51:02.
Game 2prediction missed25:29
Tengri 54%MoneyMakers 46%
The model gave 54% on Tengri — the game was taken by MoneyMakers in 47:36.
Model check result
Model favoriteTengri · 54%
Series resultMoneyMakers 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2