Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 3. Южная Америка. Закрытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
Universitario Esportsloss 0:2series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 0:2
los moticucoswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Universitario Esports
No games played over 6 months.
los moticucos
Bounty Hunteroften banned
sl4d1n- · 2 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Accel · 2 games
Medusaoften banned
Parker · 2 games
Pugnaoften banned
Accel · 2 games
Rubick
Accel · 2 games
Tusk
Alone · 2 games
Batrideroften banned
Alone · 1 game
Beastmasteroften banned
Oscar · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
706 picks · 593 bans
Disruptor
553 picks · 487 bans
Beastmaster
442 picks · 1078 bans
Doom
429 picks · 759 bans
Ember Spirit
403 picks · 1011 bans
Mirana
376 picks · 202 bans
Tiny
376 picks · 359 bans
Enchantress
374 picks · 539 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 60%
Hero pool strength56% los moticucos
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total53% los moticucos
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct12:26
Universitario Esports 47%los moticucos 53%
The model gave 53% on los moticucos — the game was taken by los moticucos in 41:31.
Game 2prediction correct33:12
Universitario Esports 47%los moticucos 53%
The model gave 53% on los moticucos — the game was taken by los moticucos in 36:42.
Model check result
Model favoritelos moticucos · 53%
Series resultlos moticucos 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2