Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 3. Южная Америка. Закрытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
Pacific esportswin 2:0series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 2:0
chandogsloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Pacific esports
No games played over 6 months.
chandogs
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
730 picks · 613 bans
Disruptor
559 picks · 486 bans
Beastmaster
431 picks · 1046 bans
Doom
414 picks · 681 bans
Ember Spirit
401 picks · 990 bans
Tiny
391 picks · 373 bans
Undying
387 picks · 607 bans
Mirana
380 picks · 206 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 67%
Hero pool strength50% Pacific esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% chandogs
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed31:21
Pacific esports 48%chandogs 52%
The model gave 52% on chandogs — the game was taken by Pacific esports in 37:36.
Game 2prediction missed28:16
Pacific esports 48%chandogs 52%
The model gave 52% on chandogs — the game was taken by Pacific esports in 26:07.
Model check result
Model favoritechandogs · 52%
Series resultPacific esports 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2