Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 3. ЮВА. Закрытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
InterActive Philippineswin 2:0series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 2:0
WOLFloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
InterActive Philippines
No games played over 6 months.
WOLF
Faceless Voidoften banned
Dreamocel · 1 game
Timbersawoften banned
Rusman · 1 game
Underlordoften banned
Rusman · 1 game
Windranger
Dreamocel · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
736 picks · 613 bans
Disruptor
550 picks · 483 bans
Beastmaster
424 picks · 1033 bans
Ember Spirit
401 picks · 980 bans
Doom
400 picks · 667 bans
Tiny
398 picks · 374 bans
Undying
391 picks · 610 bans
Mirana
381 picks · 206 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 63%
Hero pool strength56% InterActive Philippines
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% WOLF
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed23:6
InterActive Philippines 44%WOLF 56%
The model gave 56% on WOLF — the game was taken by InterActive Philippines in 21:04.
Game 2prediction missed31:24
InterActive Philippines 44%WOLF 56%
The model gave 56% on WOLF — the game was taken by InterActive Philippines in 43:24.
Model check result
Model favoriteWOLF · 56%
Series resultInterActive Philippines 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2